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The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. I hope you use your chance well. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Are they gross exaggerations? On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. But lets think about this some more. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Thats going to take a LONG time. But let's think about this some more. Maybe that one would have been better. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Step 1. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Thats a ridiculously huge number. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. This includes personalizing content and advertising. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. 7 distinct works Similar authors. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Thank you, Monsignor. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). You can start the series by clicking HERE. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. On one try. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Yet here we are. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Or stalk me (with love.). Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Based on the data from the CDC . Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. The chances that they would then get knocked up? So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Wowser. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Do you know the odds of being alive? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique?