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Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. Pennsylvania's Blue Shift | The New Yorker Idaho. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. It is not a red state. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. But registration figures vary greatly by county. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue - LancasterOnline Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! List Of Blue States And Red States No. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. Pennsylvania Presidential Election Voting History - 270toWin NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. The. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. VOA explains. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Is New Hampshire a blue state? - Quora Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. Blue States Have Been Hit Much Harder by COVID-19. Why? [41][note 1][42]. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. If . The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. 2023 Best & Worst States for Retirement | Retirement Living Like around the country, we're seeing. Here's Where All the Cracks in the 'Blue Wall' Were for Biden - The New The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . How Red Or Blue Is Your State? | FiveThirtyEight These are general election results for the years listed. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Blue and Red States - 270toWin When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. #V. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Red states vs. blue states. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. But I've got news for them, too. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Top 10 US States with Drug Overdose Deaths - American Addiction Centers [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. Same caution about borders applies. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. COVID-19: Red States, Blue States | Open Mind [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. elections. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). All Rights Reserved. Here's the count: 2020: Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. The 'blue shift' and what it means for Pennsylvania's 2020 election results Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. Tennessee. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. 10. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! 2016 Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023) - GkGigs Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. The key swing region is the. Sorry Marc. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Blue States No. All Rights Reserved. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! How red or blue is your state? If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. How red or blue is your state? | The Hill Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. What determines a state's "color"? I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Which States Flipped In The 2020 Election? There Was A Shakeup - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Has Texas ever turned blue? - KSAT Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Former Governor Ed Rendell In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? Explained! Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. Pennsylvania Cc Race Results - PennTrackXC.com Thats a point that they made. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. Anita What do you want to know? Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Map of election results. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. Good evening from Philadelphia! However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Hi everyone from D.C.! More than a . Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Blue wall (U.S. politics) - Wikipedia *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Continue with Recommended Cookies. He held his own in . Is Missouri a red state? Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. Gov. Tap or hover to see names. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate.